The Greatest Horse of All

A Controversy Examined

Nonfiction, Sports, Horse Sports, Horse Racing, History
Cover of the book The Greatest Horse of All by Charles Justice, AuthorHouse
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Author: Charles Justice ISBN: 9781467834018
Publisher: AuthorHouse Publication: November 20, 2008
Imprint: AuthorHouse Language: English
Author: Charles Justice
ISBN: 9781467834018
Publisher: AuthorHouse
Publication: November 20, 2008
Imprint: AuthorHouse
Language: English

Using the most basic statistics, completely explained, the author selects the sixteen most likely candidates for the title: "greatest horse of the twentieth century."

Fifty colts and fillies, listed mainly ina 1999 publication by The Blood-Horse, Inc., were compared using a three-part process. This process narrowed the top contenders to sixteen.

The past performance data for these Thoroughbreds were obtained from the Daily Racing Form's 2000 publication Champions.

Using results identical to those explained in the book, the author calculates that the best likely average time for Big Brown to run the upcoming Belmont is 147.54 seconds, or 2:27.54.

One hundred simulations at 12 furlongs, based on Big Brown's current 2008 performance data and the past 36 years of Belmont winning times, indicate he has a 72-percent chance of winning the triple crown.

The identical formulas used in the book on the past performance data for Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed, came within fractional seconds of predicting their Belmont/Triple Crown wins.

Of course, as most Wall Street pundits will warn, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance!

And now, in retrospect, Big Brown sadly did not win. Had he run as he was capable, the predicted time stated above would have beaten the winner, Da'Tara, by 2.09 seconds!

Charles Justice

June 5 and 9, 2008

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

Using the most basic statistics, completely explained, the author selects the sixteen most likely candidates for the title: "greatest horse of the twentieth century."

Fifty colts and fillies, listed mainly ina 1999 publication by The Blood-Horse, Inc., were compared using a three-part process. This process narrowed the top contenders to sixteen.

The past performance data for these Thoroughbreds were obtained from the Daily Racing Form's 2000 publication Champions.

Using results identical to those explained in the book, the author calculates that the best likely average time for Big Brown to run the upcoming Belmont is 147.54 seconds, or 2:27.54.

One hundred simulations at 12 furlongs, based on Big Brown's current 2008 performance data and the past 36 years of Belmont winning times, indicate he has a 72-percent chance of winning the triple crown.

The identical formulas used in the book on the past performance data for Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed, came within fractional seconds of predicting their Belmont/Triple Crown wins.

Of course, as most Wall Street pundits will warn, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance!

And now, in retrospect, Big Brown sadly did not win. Had he run as he was capable, the predicted time stated above would have beaten the winner, Da'Tara, by 2.09 seconds!

Charles Justice

June 5 and 9, 2008

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