Politics and Big Data

Nowcasting and Forecasting Elections with Social Media

Nonfiction, Social & Cultural Studies, Political Science
Cover of the book Politics and Big Data by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus, Taylor and Francis
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus ISBN: 9781317134138
Publisher: Taylor and Francis Publication: December 19, 2016
Imprint: Routledge Language: English
Author: Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
ISBN: 9781317134138
Publisher: Taylor and Francis
Publication: December 19, 2016
Imprint: Routledge
Language: English

The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ideas and opinion allows observers and scholars to monitor trends and momentum in public opinion well before traditional polls. However, there are difficulties in recording and analyzing often brief, unverified comments while the unequal age, gender, social and racial representation among social media users can produce inaccurate forecasts of final polls. Reviewing the different techniques employed using social media to nowcast and forecast elections, this book assesses its achievements and limitations while presenting a new technique of "sentiment analysis" to improve upon them. The authors carry out a meta-analysis of the existing literature to show the conditions under which social media-based electoral forecasts prove most accurate while new case studies from France, the United States and Italy demonstrate how much more accurate "sentiment analysis" can prove.

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

The importance of social media as a way to monitor an electoral campaign is well established. Day-by-day, hour-by-hour evaluation of the evolution of online ideas and opinion allows observers and scholars to monitor trends and momentum in public opinion well before traditional polls. However, there are difficulties in recording and analyzing often brief, unverified comments while the unequal age, gender, social and racial representation among social media users can produce inaccurate forecasts of final polls. Reviewing the different techniques employed using social media to nowcast and forecast elections, this book assesses its achievements and limitations while presenting a new technique of "sentiment analysis" to improve upon them. The authors carry out a meta-analysis of the existing literature to show the conditions under which social media-based electoral forecasts prove most accurate while new case studies from France, the United States and Italy demonstrate how much more accurate "sentiment analysis" can prove.

More books from Taylor and Francis

Cover of the book International Dispute Resolution and the Public Policy Exception by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Unequivocal Justice by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book A New Testament Word Book by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book German National Cinema by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Politics, Planning and the City by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book The Muse as Therapist by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Global Corporate Strategy and Trade Policy by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book The European Union and Humanitarian Crises by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Brown Gold by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Global Management, Local Resistances by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Cavendish: AS Level Lawcard by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book School and Society in Victorian Britain by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Working and Educating for Life by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Celebrity and Glamour in Contemporary Russia by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
Cover of the book Five Ways:St Thomas Aquinas Vo by Andrea Ceron, Luigi Curini, Stefano Maria Iacus
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy