Plant Phenology as a Biomonitor for Climate Change in Germany

A Modelling and Mapping Approach

Nonfiction, Science & Nature, Science, Biological Sciences, Environmental Science, Earth Sciences, Nature
Cover of the book Plant Phenology as a Biomonitor for Climate Change in Germany by Gunther Schmidt, Simon Schönrock, Winfried Schröder, Springer International Publishing
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Author: Gunther Schmidt, Simon Schönrock, Winfried Schröder ISBN: 9783319090900
Publisher: Springer International Publishing Publication: August 14, 2014
Imprint: Springer Language: English
Author: Gunther Schmidt, Simon Schönrock, Winfried Schröder
ISBN: 9783319090900
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Publication: August 14, 2014
Imprint: Springer
Language: English

The investigations refer to the development of plant phenology since the 1960s in Germany. Spatiotemporal trends were assessed by means of regression kriging. It could be shown that there already is a distinct shift of phenological onset towards the beginning of the year of up to two weeks. In future, a shift of up to one month was calculated till 2080. Moreover, a prolongation of the vegetation period of up to three weeks was found. The findings are relevant for the development of mitigation measures to prevent from environmental, agricultural and economic issues due to climate change.

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The investigations refer to the development of plant phenology since the 1960s in Germany. Spatiotemporal trends were assessed by means of regression kriging. It could be shown that there already is a distinct shift of phenological onset towards the beginning of the year of up to two weeks. In future, a shift of up to one month was calculated till 2080. Moreover, a prolongation of the vegetation period of up to three weeks was found. The findings are relevant for the development of mitigation measures to prevent from environmental, agricultural and economic issues due to climate change.

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