National Defense Intelligence College Paper: Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers: An Experiment in Applying Structured Methods - Case Studies, Scenarios, Two-Tailed Tests

Nonfiction, History, Military, Strategy
Cover of the book National Defense Intelligence College Paper: Intelligence Analysis in Theater Joint Intelligence Centers: An Experiment in Applying Structured Methods - Case Studies, Scenarios, Two-Tailed Tests by Progressive Management, Progressive Management
View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart
Author: Progressive Management ISBN: 9781310862380
Publisher: Progressive Management Publication: December 5, 2013
Imprint: Smashwords Edition Language: English
Author: Progressive Management
ISBN: 9781310862380
Publisher: Progressive Management
Publication: December 5, 2013
Imprint: Smashwords Edition
Language: English

This unique and informative paper was produced by the National Intelligence University / National Defense Intelligence College. In clear, articulate, unmistakable language, Master Sergeant Folker's learned thesis sets forth the key opposing arguments in the long-standing controversy over the role of structuring in intelligence analysis. The controversy is largely one-sided, because proponents of intuitive analysis see no purpose in debating the issue, as they are completely satisfied with the status quo. It is only the structuring enthusiasts who see a need for drastic change in the way analysis is conducted. Because, as Folker points out, supporters of the status quo include not only most analysts but most commanders as well, the structuring enthusiasts have never made progress in reforming the other side. And they won't make any progress until the superiority of structured analysis over intuitive analysis is proved, which Folker has taken a first giant step in doing. And it is precisely on this point that Folker challenges the Intelligence Community— indeed the entire U.S. government and the private sector as well—to design and conduct reliable tests to demonstrate which analytic approach is superior: structured or intuitive. Given the wide range of available structuring techniques, each one should be tested in competition with intuition. There are many myths prevalent in the analytic community, public and private, concerning structured analysis: It is time-consuming and overly complicated; it eliminates the indispensable role of intuition; it involves numbers and arcane formulae that render analysis mechanical and devoid of creative solutions; and so on. Tests like Folker's will surely dispose of these myths and demonstrate the immense value and power of structuring.

His thesis, moreover, should encourage students to undertake research experiments that challenge long-held beliefs and test new theories of military interest. JMIC students are especially well placed to conduct thoughtful, creative research because they bring to this scholarly environment a rich mixture of background and viewpoints, and because they remain vitally involved in the business of wringing meaning from a great variety of intelligence information.

Topics and subjects include: qualitative analysis, structured methodologies, case studies, scenarios, two-tailed tests.

View on Amazon View on AbeBooks View on Kobo View on B.Depository View on eBay View on Walmart

This unique and informative paper was produced by the National Intelligence University / National Defense Intelligence College. In clear, articulate, unmistakable language, Master Sergeant Folker's learned thesis sets forth the key opposing arguments in the long-standing controversy over the role of structuring in intelligence analysis. The controversy is largely one-sided, because proponents of intuitive analysis see no purpose in debating the issue, as they are completely satisfied with the status quo. It is only the structuring enthusiasts who see a need for drastic change in the way analysis is conducted. Because, as Folker points out, supporters of the status quo include not only most analysts but most commanders as well, the structuring enthusiasts have never made progress in reforming the other side. And they won't make any progress until the superiority of structured analysis over intuitive analysis is proved, which Folker has taken a first giant step in doing. And it is precisely on this point that Folker challenges the Intelligence Community— indeed the entire U.S. government and the private sector as well—to design and conduct reliable tests to demonstrate which analytic approach is superior: structured or intuitive. Given the wide range of available structuring techniques, each one should be tested in competition with intuition. There are many myths prevalent in the analytic community, public and private, concerning structured analysis: It is time-consuming and overly complicated; it eliminates the indispensable role of intuition; it involves numbers and arcane formulae that render analysis mechanical and devoid of creative solutions; and so on. Tests like Folker's will surely dispose of these myths and demonstrate the immense value and power of structuring.

His thesis, moreover, should encourage students to undertake research experiments that challenge long-held beliefs and test new theories of military interest. JMIC students are especially well placed to conduct thoughtful, creative research because they bring to this scholarly environment a rich mixture of background and viewpoints, and because they remain vitally involved in the business of wringing meaning from a great variety of intelligence information.

Topics and subjects include: qualitative analysis, structured methodologies, case studies, scenarios, two-tailed tests.

More books from Progressive Management

Cover of the book 21st Century U.S. Military Manuals: Operations Field Manual - FM 3-0 (Value-Added Professional Format Series) by Progressive Management
Cover of the book FBI Study of Active Shooter Incidents in the United States Between 2000 and 2013: List of 160 Active Shooter Incidents, Methodology, Incident Locations and Types, Casualties and Resolutions by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Mauritania in Perspective: Orientation Guide and Hassaniya Cultural Orientation: Geography, History, Economy, Security, Nouakchott, Nouadhibou, Rosso, Taya, Sanhadja, Almoravids, Sudanic Kingdoms by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 2011 Essential Guide to the Muslim Brotherhood (Al-Ikhwan): Authoritative Information and Analysis - From Origins in Egypt to Role in Terrorism, Hamas, Jihad, Egyptian Islamic Radicalism and Uprising, Syria by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Societal Impact of Spaceflight: Apollo, Shuttle, China, Russia, Reconnaissance, GPS, Earth Satellites, JPL, Food Standards, Spacefaring Species (NASA SP-2007-4801) by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Questions Every Airman Can Answer: Fifty Questions, and Fifty More - Air and Space Power Explained by the Air Force by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Analyzing the Rationales Behind Russia's Intervention in Ukraine: Euromaidan, Russian Strategic Gains, Putin's Background, 2008 Russo-Georgian War, Communism to Authoritarianism, Olympics, Crimea by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 2014 Final NTSB Aircraft Incident Report on Boeing 787 Dreamliner Airplane Yuasa Lithium Battery Fire Japan Airlines JA829J: Tests, Analysis, Conclusions and Recommendations by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Ethanol in America: The Growth of the Cellulosic Ethanol Industry and the DOE Handbook on E85 - The Alternative Fuel for Advanced Vehicles by Progressive Management
Cover of the book A History of Marine Fighter Attack Squadron 531: U.S. Marines History, Getting Started in 1942, Cherry Point, Tigercats, Skynight, Skyrays, WestPac, Phantoms, MIGs, Vietnam, El Toro Rebirth, Hornets by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Introduction to Defense Acquisition Management (Tenth Edition) - How DoD Does Business, Program Management, Policy, Resource Allocation Process, Weapon Systems by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Yemen: Comparative Insurgency and Counterinsurgency - al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), Huthi Movement, Hirak, Tribal Elements, Sanaa, Could Yemen Become the Next Somalia Safe Haven for Terror by Progressive Management
Cover of the book Next Generation Enterprise Network Business Continuity: Maintaining Operations in a Compromised Environment - COOP, Navy, Operation Rolling Tide, Command and Control (C2), Virtualization Technology by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century U.S. Military Manuals: Intelligence and Electronic Warfare Operations (FM 34-1) Combat Operations, Information Warfare (Value-Added Professional Format Series) by Progressive Management
Cover of the book 21st Century Pocket Guide to the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) and the Privacy Act - Your Right to Federal Government Records, Sample Request Letters by Progressive Management
We use our own "cookies" and third party cookies to improve services and to see statistical information. By using this website, you agree to our Privacy Policy