Evaluating Climate Change Scenarios

From AOGCMs to Hyderabad

Nonfiction, Science & Nature, Science, Earth Sciences
Cover of the book Evaluating Climate Change Scenarios by Mathias K. B. Lüdecke, Martin Budde, Oles Kit, Diana Reckien, Europäischer Hochschulverlag
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Author: Mathias K. B. Lüdecke, Martin Budde, Oles Kit, Diana Reckien ISBN: 9783867418386
Publisher: Europäischer Hochschulverlag Publication: January 15, 2013
Imprint: Language: English
Author: Mathias K. B. Lüdecke, Martin Budde, Oles Kit, Diana Reckien
ISBN: 9783867418386
Publisher: Europäischer Hochschulverlag
Publication: January 15, 2013
Imprint:
Language: English
The paper develops adequate evaluation algorithms for applying Atmospheric - Oceanic General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulated climate scenarios over Hyderabad, India. The AOGCM simulated results were generated for the IPCC AR4 process and considered for a high (A2) and a low (B1) global CO2-emission scenario. The considered time slices are 1981–2000 (reference climate), 2046–2065 and 2081–2100. These model runs were evaluated to obtain projections of the four most impact-relevant climatic characteristics for Hyderabad: the frequency distribution of daily precipitation (important, e.g, for urban flooding), the total annual precipitation (e.g. for urban water supply), the probability and duration of heat waves (e.g. for human health) and the annual mean temperature (e.g. for urban agriculture).

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The paper develops adequate evaluation algorithms for applying Atmospheric - Oceanic General Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulated climate scenarios over Hyderabad, India. The AOGCM simulated results were generated for the IPCC AR4 process and considered for a high (A2) and a low (B1) global CO2-emission scenario. The considered time slices are 1981–2000 (reference climate), 2046–2065 and 2081–2100. These model runs were evaluated to obtain projections of the four most impact-relevant climatic characteristics for Hyderabad: the frequency distribution of daily precipitation (important, e.g, for urban flooding), the total annual precipitation (e.g. for urban water supply), the probability and duration of heat waves (e.g. for human health) and the annual mean temperature (e.g. for urban agriculture).

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